You are not connected. Please login or register

The 5 Conditions Needed for a Civil War

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1The 5 Conditions Needed for a Civil War Empty The 5 Conditions Needed for a Civil War on Thu May 17, 2018 6:20 pm

I am shamelessly cribbing this one from GB:

Based on his experience in civil wars on three continents, Mines cited five conditions that support his prediction:

1) Entrenched national polarization, with no obvious meeting place for resolution.

2) Increasingly divisive press coverage and information flows.

3) Weakened institutions, notably Congress and the judiciary.

4) A sellout or abandonment of responsibility by political leadership.

5) The legitimization of violence as the “in” way to either conduct discourse or solve disputes.

The above was drawn from a New Yorker article that was talking about the possibility of civil war in the US, but I wonder if the above conditions are universal?

What does the hive mind think about those conditions and their applicability to the UK? How many conditions are currently met here and how have they been met?


Footnotes:

1: [URL="https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/is-america-headed-for-a-new-kind-of-civil-war"]Is America Headed for a New Kind of Civil War?[/URL]

2: [URL="http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/03/10/will-we-have-a-civil-war-a-sf-officer-turned-diplomat-estimates-chances-at-60-percent/"]Will we have a civil war? A SF officer turned diplomat estimates chances at 60 percent[/URL]

3: [URL="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/the-center-in-british-politics-has-all-but-disappeared-leaving-the-country-as-polarized-as-the-us/2017/06/07/045b0554-4afa-11e7-987c-42ab5745db2e_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.5ca2baddc60f"]The center in British politics has all but disappeared, leaving the country as polarized as the U.S.[/URL]

4: [URL="http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/brexit/2017/05/16/acrimonious-and-divisive-the-role-the-media-played-in-brexit/"]Acrimonious and divisive: the role the media played in Brexit[/URL]

5: [URL="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/apr/17/jeremy-corbyn-accused-of-lacking-moral-clarity-on-antisemitism"]Jeremy Corbyn accused of lacking moral clarity on antisemitism[/URL]

6: [URL="https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/amber-rudd-resigns-home-office-theresa-may-windrush-hostile-environment-a8329061.html"]Amber Rudd’s resignation won’t take the heat off Theresa May[/URL]

7: [URL="https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/19/crush-the-saboteurs-how-hard-brexit-rhetoric-turned-leninist"]Crush the saboteurs! How hard-Brexit rhetoric turned Leninist[/URL]

8: [URL="https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/958163/Brexit-news-UK-latest-EU-House-of-Lords-customs-union-Theresa-May-referendum-vote"]'ABOLISH IT!' Nigel Farage says Lords MUST go after trying to THWART Brexit vote[/URL]

I present the above as further reading with some there as examples of how I think some of the conditions have been met - what do you think?

View user profile

Back to top  Message [Page 1 of 1]

Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum